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The rise of internet communication has forced traditional postal operators to cope with declining mail volumes. However, it also offers major opportunities through the growing demand for e-commerce parcel deliveries.
The rise of internet communication has forced traditional postal operators to cope with declining mail volumes. However, it also offers major opportunities through the growing demand for e-commerce parcel deliveries. Surviving the competition with the traditionally strong B2B express parcel “integrators” requires traditional postal operators to create a better fit with e-shoppers’ expectations. The most difficult challenge is proving to be communication and information between all stakeholders.
The growth of the e-commerce sector offers opportunities for postal operators. Year on year, postal operators report on declining regular mail volumes due to the increasing importance of digital communication since the rise of the internet about 2 decades ago. This decline has urged postal operators to change their offer and modify their business model. Most of them have added related and unrelated ancillary services to their regular offer. Spurred by the boom of the e-commerce sector, the parcel market grew at a CAGR of 7.5% between 2010 and 2014 [1]. E-commerce turnover reached c. € 1.3tr in 2014 and is expected to hit c. € 1.7tr in 2016 already. Postal operators are consequently transforming their regular mail operations towards parcel logistics.
Integrators are dominant on the international express parcel market. Along with upcoming globalization during the 70’s and 80’s of the last century came the rise of internationally operating integrators. Today, the market is largely consolidated. UPS, FedEx (acquiring TNT in 2016), Yamato and DHL currently have a dominant market share of 52% in the international express segment [2]. Since 2000, many national postal operators have created wholly independent integrators through acquisitions. In 2001 the Deutsche Post and La Poste acquired the American DHL and the German DPD respectively whilst Royal Mail opted for a buy and build strategy creating GLS.
Focusing on B2C and C2C parcel delivery national postal operators are carving out a niche that caters to e-commerce customers. Postal operators like La Poste and Royal Mail thus adopt a two-tiered approach having both an integrated model and a hybrid mail and parcel model. Other operators such as the Belgian bpost or the Dutch PostNL opted solely for a hybrid mail parcel model.
When it comes to the logistics of their purchase, e-shoppers expect convenience and low cost, whether they shop cross-border or not.
The parameters an e-shopper takes into account looking for convenience are [3]:
A low or free shipping cost for customers is becoming more and more important, 93% of shoppers are encouraged to buy more if free shipping is included. Moreover, 75% of e-shoppers consider unconditional free shipping of their parcels to be a crucial element to the transaction.[4] This commercial pressure put on e-tailers by e-shoppers is transferred onto the parcel operators. Considering the threat of vertical integration of some large e-tailers, an evolution that is slowly coming of age (e.g. Amazon), pressure on cost will only continue to increase.[5]
Cross-border e-shopping is growing in all countries. This growth is spurred by the increased trust e-shoppers have in renowned international e-tailers such as Zalando and Amazon or e-commerce trust marks and labels held by smaller players. Another cause of cross-border growth is the lowering cost and increased ease and security of online and international payments [6].
Convenience, cost and cross-border all have an important impact on the operational model of parcel operators. Players that strike the right balance between these 3 elements will have the best shot at enlarging their market share in this competitive market.
The integrated and the hybrid mail parcel model offer different advantages and disadvantages to e-shoppers due to the difference in their operational model. Integrators have an end-to-end international operational model. From pick-up in country A, over flying to and delivery in country B, the entire logistical process is operated by one company. Hybrid mail parcel players do not have a global network of their own. Their model thus implies cooperation between a postal operator in country A, a postal operator in country B and a handler / transporter that moves the parcel from country A to B, see figure 2 hereunder.
With regards to the convenience aspects of customer demand a comparison shows us that:
Both models clearly have their advantages in terms of convenience, but how do they compare in terms of shipping cost? Due to their existing and intricate network used for mail, hybrid mail parcel operators benefit from synergies and economies of scale. Integrators have a large global footprint but their local distribution networks are much less developed. On top of that, the extra efforts with regards to flexible delivery decrease operational efficiency and thus increase costs. This difference in operational cost is at least part of the reason why consumer prices differ to such an extent,
see table 1 hereunder [7].
As said, integrators perform better on the convenience aspects of cross-border deliveries as they have their own independent end-to-end operational network. Hybrid mail parcel players on the other hand depend on other partners for the execution of the international transport and delivery in country of destination.
The lack of free choice of mail parcel counterparts makes it hard to control and improve their performance through other than quid pro quo measures. As mutual dependency only works well when volumes to and from are rather equal, pressure is mostly exerted politically in international organizations, see infra.
Regarding the handlers and airlines, hybrid mail parcel operators have more choice of partners but a rather weak bargaining power with regards to prices. As postal shipment volumes only amount up to c. 10% of their total cargo, handlers and airlines have the stronger hand [8].
The main challenge for hybrid mail & parcel players thus is to improve the information offered to the e-shopper through end-to-end traceability for cross-border deliveries. In order to achieve this goal postal operators and handlers / transport companies need to standardize the information they exchange. This requires both the creation of communication norms and the development and implementation of communication systems. Increased efficiency of the communication flows between all stakeholders will have a positive impact on cross-border delivery times.
Traceability depends on communication between the different parties in the logistical chain. This implies that communication systems of all postal operators and handlers in the scheme need to be aligned and speak the same language. To this end, postal operators, handlers and airlines convene in several international organizations to standardize these communication standards. An overview of these organizations is given consequently.
Before going into the details of the communication standards two business concepts need to be clarified: dispatches and consignments.
The communication between hybrid mail parcel operators and between handlers, airlines on the one hand and hybrid mail parcel operators on the other can be discerned as 2 separate flows. The first flow is indicated in Figure 4 with a 1 the second as a 2
Regarding communication between hybrid mail parcel operators four different types of messages are exchanged:
Communication on dispatches:
Communication on consignments:
The handler / transporter in turn answers this message with a RESDIT message at multiple moments during the transportation process to obtain a detailed overview of where the consignments exactly are.
After having agreed to standardize communication norms in the aforementioned political bodies, hybrid mail parcel operators and handlers need to implement them in their operations. Implementation requires both investments in IT-systems and in operational processes.
Investing in standardization of communication not only improves track and trace capabilities that are expected by e-shoppers, it also has other important benefits [9].
The growth of e-commerce offers vast opportunities for both e-tailers and postal operators. As e-tailers’ success is partially determined by the delivery services they can offer to the e-shopper, e-tailers will contract delivery partners that cater to their customers’ expectations.
Convenience in terms of delivery speed, flexibility and information as well as cost can be discerned as crucial factors in the decision making process of e-shoppers. Due to economies of scale hybrid mail parcel operators can operate at a lower cost than integrators. However, traceability and speed of cross-border deliveries are their relative weaknesses.
An important measure taken by hybrid mail parcel operators to remediate these weaknesses is to convene in harmonization bodies to standardize communication norms. Improved communication between operators and handlers / transport companies will not only ensure traceability for e-shoppers but will eventually also benefit delivery speed.
Although politically cumbersome, the communication standardization process proves to be crucial in the transformation of mail operators towards hybrid mail parcel operators in their aim to offer the best fit with e-shoppers’ expectations.
[1] Global Parcel Delivery Market Insight Report 2015
[2] Cross-Border Parcel Delivery Operations and its Cost Drivers, TPR, UAntwerp 2015
[3] See also Belgian retail stores under pressure: Sia Partners
[4] Asendia 2015 Pocket guide to cross-border e-commerce
[5] Interview Alain Roset, Director Innovation La Poste & Chairman CEN, 2016
[6] New EU interchange fees regulation: Sia Partners
[7]Assumptions:
Calculated through operators’ price calculators for consumers on their respective websites; DPD and GLS solely offer B2B services, no data could be gathered;
National route is France – France; EU route is France - Belgium; International route is France – USA (NY)
* Max weight PostNL/Colissimo parcel international is 20kg
[8] Interview Luc Larrieu-Sans, Manager International Transport Services La Poste, 2016
[9] Interview Luc Larrieu-Sans, Manager International Transport Services La Poste, 2016